```html Why You’re Not As Smart As You Think You Are (About Money) 🤯
balance

Why You’re Not As Smart As You Think You Are (About Money) 🤯

The Psychology of Money: Why Our Brains Lie to Us

Hey everyone,

Welcome to my finance blog! I’m Schuyler Christopher, and I want to share with you some insights from the book Zero to One by Peter Thiel. It’s an incredibly insightful book about the secrets of building a business—and along the way, Thiel shares some valuable lessons about how to think about and manage money. It’s not rocket science, but it can be harder than you think.

We Make Financial Decisions We Regret

A central message of Zero to One is that “No one is crazy,” but we make financial decisions we regret. One of the biggest reasons why we do this is because we’re not as rational as we think we are. It turns out our decisions are heavily influenced by our individual experiences, biases, and emotions.

The Power of Experience

Take the story of Ronald Read, the American janitor who died in 2014 leaving behind more than $8 million. He never went to college and never worked for a fancy company. He worked at a gas station for 25 years, swept floors for 17 years, and chopped firewood for fun. No one knew he was a millionaire.

  • Compare Read to Richard Fuscone, a Harvard-educated Merrill Lynch executive who retired in his 40s and became a philanthropist.
  • Now, compare Read to Richard Fuscone, a Harvard-educated Merrill Lynch executive who retired in his 40s and became a philanthropist. Fuscone was a shining example of success. But he ended up bankrupt in 2008 due to heavy debt and illiquid assets.

What’s the difference between Read and Fuscone? Read was patient and frugal. Fuscone was greedy and leveraged. The differences were in their psychology, not their intelligence.

What We See, and What We Don’t

We’re taught that wealth is about assets—stuff we can see and touch. A fancy car. A big house. Expensive jewelry. But the book reminds us that “Wealth is what you don’t see.”

  • Wealth is about “income not spent,” or, in the words of investor Bill Mann, “spending money you have, and not spending money you don’t have.”
  • Wealth is what you could buy, but choose not to, giving you greater freedom and flexibility.

The Power of Saving

So how do you become wealthy? It doesn’t require a huge income, but it does require a high savings rate. If you want to increase your savings rate, the most powerful tool is to “raise your humility.”

Everyone Needs to Be a Little Bit Paranoid

How do you keep yourself from blowing through all the money you’ve managed to amass? The book argues that “the only way to stay wealthy is some combination of frugality and paranoia.”

Think about it this way:

  • We’re all better off if we invest for the long term, but this requires surviving all of the unforeseen events that happen over a lifetime.
  • No investment strategy is guaranteed to work 100% of the time. So when we plan, we have to plan on our plans not going according to plan.
  • We have to be optimistic about the future while also being paranoid about things that could go wrong.

A high savings rate means we can weather the storms that inevitably arise and stay in the game long enough to reap the benefits of compounding.

A World of Surprises

It’s easy to get caught up in the news, which is full of stories about doom and gloom—and to think that we have to anticipate and avoid every single bad thing that could possibly happen to us. But “Things that have never happened before happen all the time.”

  • The Great Depression.
  • World War II.
  • The Cold War.
  • The rise of the internet and the dot-com bubble.
  • September 11th.
  • The housing crash of the mid-2000s.
  • The financial crisis of 2008.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic.

It’s a wild world out there. But these big surprises have impacted our finances in ways that were almost impossible to foresee. The truth is that we don’t have a lot of historical data to draw from; many important financial innovations—like the Roth IRA or even index funds—were invented within the last 50 years. That’s not enough history to guide us.

Don’t Trust the Experts

We’re all taught to defer to experts: teachers, doctors, lawyers, financial

The Importance of “Room for Error”

So what do we do? The book emphasizes “room for error,” which is the

ability to endure a range of potential outcomes.

Think about it: It’s fine to bet that the stock market will go up, but you can’t bet

the farm. You need to be comfortable with a range of potential results.

A high savings rate means you can withstand market fluctuations and stay

in the game long enough for compounding to work.

Saving more, especially when your income is high, means living below your

means and building a cushion that can help you weather unexpected expenses.

Cash in the bank gives you flexibility and the option to wait for better

opportunities.

A barbelled personality—optimistic about the future but paranoid about

what could go wrong—is an antidote to both foolish optimism and crippling

pessimism.

Everyone Has Blind Spots

We all have blind spots, and we’re not very good at knowing what they are.

The book uses an interesting analogy : Imagine an alien sent to Earth to study our

economy. He lands on Times Square on New Year’s Eve 2007, and then again in

Everything looks the same to him. The city is bustling. People are happy. The

economy looks good.

Then he looks at the numbers. The economy collapsed in 2008. Stock markets

plunged. Unemployment soared.

The alien is shocked. He couldn’t see what had changed. But the only thing that

changed was the story people were telling themselves about the economy.

The same thing happens when we make investment decisions. We want to

believe things will go well. So we tell ourselves stories to confirm that belief. We

ignore the risks, or dismiss them. But those stories can be just as destructive as

the ones that make us panic.

The Importance of Humility

So what should we do? The book has a simple but powerful suggestion: *“Be

careful who you praise and admire. Be careful who you look down upon and wish to

avoid becoming.”*

And *“Don’t assume that 100% of outcomes can be attributed to effort and

decisions.”*

Everyone makes mistakes. Everyone experiences bad luck. Everyone faces

unforeseen circumstances.

But most of us, when it comes to money, don’t want to accept the role of

chance in our lives. We’d rather believe that we have control, and that we’re more

rational than we are. That’s why it’s so hard to find financial independence.

When we can’t accept the reality of luck, we end up making the wrong

decisions, at the worst possible time.

You Are Not A Lottery Ticket

If you want to be successful in business or investing, you’ll have to reject the

notion that everything is a matter of chance. You are not a lottery ticket.

You can control your future, but to do so, you’ll have to make some choices, take

some risks, and stick to your convictions—even when everything around you seems

to be going crazy.

The Importance of Making New Things

Zero to One also argues that we need to look for secrets. That means

searching for new things to create—not simply copying what has worked in the

past.

  • You can build a better version of a product.
  • You can find a new market.
  • You can find a new way to solve a problem.

These are secrets. And when you find a secret, you have the power to change

the world.

What’s Your Financial Mission?

One of the most powerful takeaways from the book is to remind you that you

are not a mindless consumer.

You can decide how you want to use your money. And you can take control of

your financial destiny.

Take the first step today.

It’s time to awaken your financial genius.

17 (Comments)

Sort By:
re-img
Kiss Laura Product Designer
09:01 am Mar 03, 2023
star star star star star

I highly recommend [real estate agent's name] as a professional and knowledgeable real estate agent. They provided valuable guidance throughout the selling process, demonstrating excellent communication skills and a proactive approach to marketing my property...

review
re-img
Kristin Wastson Cloud Software and Network Engineer
11:29 pm Mar 05, 2023
star star star star star

I highly recommend [real estate agent's name] as a professional and knowledgeable real estate agent. They provided valuable guidance throughout the selling process, demonstrating excellent communication skills and a proactive approach to marketing my property...

Write a Comments